The Atlantic : Why China Wants Trump to Win - VietBF
 
 
 
News Library Technology Giải Trí Portals Tin Sốt Home

HOME

NEWS 24h

ZONE 1

ZONE 2

Phim Bộ

Phim Lẻ

Ca Nhạc

Breaking

Go Back   VietBF > USA NEWS > USA News in English


Reply
 
Thread Tools
  #1  
Old  Default The Atlantic : Why China Wants Trump to Win
07/07/20

Four more years might present tantalizing opportunities for Beijing to expand its influence around East Asia and the world.

SHUTTERSTOCK / THE ATLANTIC

By MICHAEL SCHUMAN

Like everyone else across the country and the world, China’s leaders are likely watching the contentious presidential campaign unfolding in the United States and anxiously wondering what it means for them. After their four-year rumble with Donald Trump, the Chinese should be counting the months, weeks, days, and minutes to the November election, hoping a (more pliable) Democrat takes over the White House, right?

That’s certainly what Trump believes. The Chinese, he tweeted, “are desperate to have Sleepy Joe Biden win the presidential race so they can continue to rip-off the United States, as they have done for decades, until I came along!”

That’s not necessarily true. From Beijing’s perspective, while a Democratic presidency may restore a more predictable form of American diplomacy, that may not best serve Chinese interests. In fact, four more years of Trump—though likely packed with annoyances and disputes—might present tantalizing opportunities for China to expand its influence around East Asia and the world.

Of course, we can’t know with certainty what outcome China’s senior cadres prefer, or if they even agree among themselves. No candidate should expect an endorsement from People’s Daily. Still, there are clues. In a highly unusual comment, the former Chinese trade negotiator Long Yongtu reportedly told a Shenzhen conference late last year, “We want Trump to be reelected; we would be glad to see that happen.” The president’s tweets make him “easy to read,” Long said, and thus “the best choice in an opponent for negotiations.” In May, Hu Xijin, the outspoken editor of the Communist Party–-run newspaper Global Times, tweeted at Trump that the Chinese “wish for your reelection because you can make America eccentric and thus hateful for the world. You help promote unity in China.” Hu added that “Chinese netizens call you ‘Jianguo,’ meaning ‘help to construct China.’” Long and Hu may not be speaking for the Beijing leadership, but no Chinese official or state-media figure would risk making such statements in public if their views were taboo in the inner circle of power.

Protesters march to the U.S. consulate in Hong Kong, September 8​, 2019. Protesters carrying Am​erican flags sought support fo​r a bill in Congress that woul​d punish Chinese officials who​ suppress freedoms in the city​.

What gives? Many Americans believe (erroneously) that Trump is the first president to stand up to China. After all, his administration has slapped tariffs on China’s exports, sanctioned some of its most important companies and officials, and pressured Beijing to play fair on trade—and the Chinese want more? Sure, Beijing would much rather have avoided a costly trade spat with its largest customer. But Trump may not strike as much terror in the hearts of Beijing’s top cadres as you might expect.

“He has some gut feelings that China doesn’t like, but he has gut feelings China does not really mind,” Minxin Pei, a specialist in Chinese politics at Claremont McKenna College, told me. “He does not really see China as an ideological adversary. Trump can be persuaded if the price is right.”

Read: Don't believe the China hype

For China, that’s key. Although Trump has sometimes acted on political and human-rights issues Beijing finds highly sensitive—most recently, signing legislation to impose sanctions for the Chinese government’s abusive treatment of minority Uighurs—he personally has often appeared disinterested, even dismissive. In a new book, Trump’s former national security adviser John Bolton claimed that Trump told Chinese President Xi Jinping over dinner in Osaka that the detention camps Beijing was building to control the Uighur community were the right thing to do. Trump also recently admitted that he delayed sanctions on officials involved with the camps to smooth negotiations for his coveted trade deal with China.

Trump has shown similar ambivalence toward Beijing’s intensifying crackdown on prodemocracy protesters in Hong Kong. The president promised stiff penalties to counter Beijing’s latest move—imposing a national-security law on Hong Kong aimed at wiping out remaining resistance—and his secretary of state, Mike Pompeo, has made bellicose statements and threats over the move. But Trump’s commitment to the Hong Kong cause has often seemed lukewarm. Last year, as millions marched in the city, he sidestepped supporting them, at one point even mouthing the Communist Party’s line by calling the protests “riots” and a purely Chinese matter. “That’s between Hong Kong and that’s between China, because Hong Kong is a part of China,” he said last August.

Even on trade—the subject featured most often in his tweets—Trump has proved weak-kneed. Chinese negotiators deftly convinced him to push off discussion of issues most critical to American business—state programs that heavily subsidize Chinese competitors, for example—to a “phase two” of talks, which have yet to materialize. Instead, Trump settled for a narrower “phase one” deal, signed in January, that was centered mainly on large Chinese purchases of American farm produce, but included little to alter Beijing’s discriminatory practices.

Trump has done even less to contain China’s growing clout on the world stage. His administration’s disdain for international institutions has ceded influence within them to China—most notably, with his recent announcement of the U.S.’s withdrawal from the World Health Organization. While Pompeo has repeatedly bashed Xi’s pet diplomatic program, the infrastructure-building Belt and Road Initiative, as a dangerous trap to ensnare unsuspecting poor nations, the administration hasn’t bothered offering an alternative. Trump has more aggressively contested Beijing’s controversial claim to nearly the entire South China Sea by increasing the frequency of naval missions sent through the disputed waters to uphold freedom of navigation, but he hasn’t followed that up with any consistent diplomacy in Southeast Asia, and he himself has generally ignored the issue.

“China’s leadership is pretty confident that, while they haven’t won the South China Sea, they are certainly winning,” Gregory Poling, director of the Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative at the Center for Strategic & International Studies in Washington, told me. Preventing that will require a collective international effort led by the United States, but “you can be pretty certain that is not going to happen under the Trump administration,” Poling said.

Read: Hong Kong is a colony once more

Here lies the main reason Beijing may not mind another Trump term: His style of foreign policy—unilateral, personalized, and fixated on dollars-and-cents matters—has severely weakened America’s traditional system of alliances. While President Barack Obama attempted a “pivot” to Asia, Trump has taken only occasional interest in the region, especially beyond trade and his fleeting dalliances with North Korea’s Kim Jong Un. Beijing has surely noted that Trump has strained relations with America’s two closest allies in the region—South Korea and Japan—with his persistent and petty squabbles over trade and the costs of U.S. military bases in those countries.

That suits Beijing just fine. As Washington steps back, China tries to lurch forward. Beijing has become more and more assertive over the course of the Trump presidency. The Chinese propaganda machine is capitalizing on Trump’s woeful response to the coronavirus pandemic to mock the president and American democracy, raise doubts about U.S. global leadership, and offer up China as a more responsible world power. The Global Times’ Hu is having a field day with Trump’s struggles, pouring forth an almost daily barrage of jibes. “You have no idea how to control epidemic,” he tweeted about Trump in June. “If the grumpy America were someone in life, how nasty the person is.” In another, he simply proclaimed, “Washington is rather stupid.” China’s government, with its superior virus-busting skills, “bolstered international confidence in beating the virus,” Liu Xiaoming, China’s ambassador to the United Kingdom recently argued. (Though it is far from clear whether these comments are having a tangible impact on global public opinion, many of China’s diplomats and officials certainly see them as effective.)

From China’s standpoint, Trump is not so much tougher as he is different. Previous presidents tried to pressure China within the rules of the current global order; Trump prefers to act outside of that system. For instance, his predecessors turned to the World Trade Organization to challenge China’s unfair trade practices, filing 21 complaints between 2004 and early 2017 (with a strong record of success). The Trump administration, openly disparaging of the WTO, has submitted only two complaints, one of which was a response to China’s retaliation against Trump’s own tariffs. Whereas previous presidents have sought to win over other powers, notably in Europe and East Asia, with similar interests in forcing China to play by the rules, this White House has alienated much of the European Union by threatening hefty tariffs, criticized NATO, and launched personal attacks on some of the West’s most influential leaders. In Asia, meanwhile, he withdrew from the Trans-Pacific Partnership, a pact aimed at solidifying American ties to its allies.

In that sense, a president with a more “normal” American foreign policy—in which Washington works closely with its friends and stands behind international norms and institutions—isn’t good for China. The Democratic nominee, Joe Biden, has already vowed to forge a coalition of countries to isolate and confront China. “When we join together with fellow democracies, our strength more than doubles,” Biden argued. “China can’t afford to ignore more than half the global economy.” That, and not Trump, is the stuff of Chinese nightmares.

Whoever wins in November, policy toward China isn’t likely to soften. A near consensus has formed in Washington, across the political aisle, that China is a strategic threat to the U.S., and there may be no way to turn back the clock to the more halcyon days of patient American engagement. “There are far fewer doves left, even on the left,” Poling, of the Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative, said. “A Democrat who comes in now is not going to be an Obama Democrat when it comes to China. That is no longer politically possible.”

Claremont McKenna’s Pei speculated that some in Beijing may still prefer a Biden victory, if only hoping for a pause in tensions as the Democrats, at least at first, focus on their domestic priorities. But the Chinese, he said, might also come to regret it. “The Trump people believe that the U.S. alone can deal China a fatal blow,” Pei said. “Democrats would likely reach out to allies to form a much more united front against China. If the Democrats succeed, China would be in a much more difficult situation in the long run.”



MICHAEL SCHUMAN is the author of Superpower Interrupted: The Chinese History of the World and The Miracle: The Epic Story of Asia’s Quest for Wealth.

cha12 ba
R9 Tuyệt Đỉnh Tôn Sư
cha12 ba's Avatar
Release: 07-08-2020
Reputation: 539418


Profile:
Join Date: Jan 2013
Posts: 37,973
Last Update: None Rating: None
Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	original.jpg
Views:	0
Size:	13.8 KB
ID:	1614562  
cha12 ba_is_offline
Thanks: 81,074
Thanked 56,785 Times in 24,152 Posts
Mentioned: 430 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 10758 Post(s)
Rep Power: 75 cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11
cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11cha12 ba Reputation Uy Tín Level 11
The Following User Says Thank You to cha12 ba For This Useful Post:
The.Cuong (07-08-2020)
Old 07-08-2020   #2
wonderful
R8 Võ Lâm Chí Tôn
 
Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 17,285
Thanks: 17,998
Thanked 64,837 Times in 16,417 Posts
Mentioned: 125 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 4457 Post(s)
Rep Power: 57
wonderful Reputation Uy Tín Level 11wonderful Reputation Uy Tín Level 11wonderful Reputation Uy Tín Level 11wonderful Reputation Uy Tín Level 11wonderful Reputation Uy Tín Level 11wonderful Reputation Uy Tín Level 11
wonderful Reputation Uy Tín Level 11wonderful Reputation Uy Tín Level 11wonderful Reputation Uy Tín Level 11wonderful Reputation Uy Tín Level 11wonderful Reputation Uy Tín Level 11wonderful Reputation Uy Tín Level 11wonderful Reputation Uy Tín Level 11wonderful Reputation Uy Tín Level 11wonderful Reputation Uy Tín Level 11wonderful Reputation Uy Tín Level 11wonderful Reputation Uy Tín Level 11wonderful Reputation Uy Tín Level 11wonderful Reputation Uy Tín Level 11wonderful Reputation Uy Tín Level 11wonderful Reputation Uy Tín Level 11
Default

"The Atlantic : Why China Wants Trump to Win"

Tại vì trump cái miệng bá láp,khả năng chính trị yếu kém nên ẩm hộ cho trump thắng thêm một nhiệm kỳ nứa hầu dể xỏ mủi...từ cường quốc số 2 nhẩy lên số 1.OK.
wonderful_is_offline   Reply With Quote
The Following 3 Users Say Thank You to wonderful For This Useful Post:
baolunbeau (07-22-2020), cha12 ba (07-08-2020), hohoang (07-22-2020)
Old 07-08-2020   #3
The.Cuong
R5 Cao Thủ Thượng Thừa
 
Join Date: Jun 2013
Posts: 1,950
Thanks: 7,291
Thanked 4,161 Times in 1,628 Posts
Mentioned: 31 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 1105 Post(s)
Rep Power: 17
The.Cuong Reputation Uy Tín Level 9The.Cuong Reputation Uy Tín Level 9
The.Cuong Reputation Uy Tín Level 9The.Cuong Reputation Uy Tín Level 9The.Cuong Reputation Uy Tín Level 9The.Cuong Reputation Uy Tín Level 9The.Cuong Reputation Uy Tín Level 9The.Cuong Reputation Uy Tín Level 9The.Cuong Reputation Uy Tín Level 9The.Cuong Reputation Uy Tín Level 9The.Cuong Reputation Uy Tín Level 9The.Cuong Reputation Uy Tín Level 9The.Cuong Reputation Uy Tín Level 9The.Cuong Reputation Uy Tín Level 9The.Cuong Reputation Uy Tín Level 9The.Cuong Reputation Uy Tín Level 9The.Cuong Reputation Uy Tín Level 9The.Cuong Reputation Uy Tín Level 9
Default

China has found President Trump's policy of isolating America completely beneficial to them.
- America is only concerned about domestic affairs but does not care about the world.
- America does not demand China respect for human rights
- The US eliminates or weakens international organizations that often make it difficult for China
- The US ignores countries including China on nuclear development and environmental pollution
- America is self separate far away and pushing European nations to be friendly with China
The.Cuong_is_offline   Reply With Quote
The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to The.Cuong For This Useful Post:
cha12 ba (07-08-2020), Ho Chu Tiem (07-09-2020)
Reply

User Tag List

Thread Tools

Facebook Comments


 
iPad Tablet Menu

HOME

Breaking News

Society News

VietOversea

World News

Business News

Other News

History

Car News

Computer News

Game News

USA News

Mobile News

Music News

Movies News

Sport News

ZONE 1

ZONE 2

Phim Bộ

Phim Lẻ

Ca Nhạc

Thơ Ca

Help Me

Sport Live

Stranger Stories

Comedy Stories

Cooking Chat

Nice Pictures

Fashion

School

Travelling

Funny Videos

NEWS 24h

HOT 3 Days

NEWS 3 Days

HOT 7 Days

NEWS 7 Days

HOT 30 Days

NEWS 30 Days

Member News

Tin Sôi Nổi Nhất 24h Qua

Tin Sôi Nổi Nhất 3 Ngày Qua

Tin Sôi Nổi Nhất 7 Ngày Qua

Tin Sôi Nổi Nhất 14 Ngày Qua

Tin Sôi Nổi Nhất 30 Ngày Qua
Diễn Đàn Người Việt Hải Ngoại. Tự do ngôn luận, an toàn và uy tín. Vì một tương lai tươi đẹp cho các thế hệ Việt Nam hãy ghé thăm chúng tôi, hãy tâm sự với chúng tôi mỗi ngày, mỗi giờ và mỗi giây phút có thể. VietBF.Com Xin cám ơn các bạn, chúc tất cả các bạn vui vẻ và gặp nhiều may mắn.
Welcome to Vietnamese American Community, Vietnamese European, Canadian, Australian Forum, Vietnamese Overseas Forum. Freedom of speech, safety and prestige. For a beautiful future for Vietnamese generations, please visit us, talk to us every day, every hour and every moment possible. VietBF.Com Thank you all and good luck.


All times are GMT. The time now is 17:19.
VietBF - Vietnamese Best Forum Copyright ©2006 - 2024
User Alert System provided by Advanced User Tagging (Pro) - vBulletin Mods & Addons Copyright © 2024 DragonByte Technologies Ltd.
Log Out Unregistered

Page generated in 0.09800 seconds with 14 queries